Friday, January 29, 2021

BIG FAT BUDGET 2021

 

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 The flow of excellent corporate results in q3 will provide fundamental support to markets. However, if the budget proposals are distinctly market-unfriendly , there is a probability of a sharp correction. We should will eye the annual report to gauge the economic policy of the government. The survey is typically presented a day before the union budget. But this year it is being brought earlier than usual because the day before budget this time is a sunday. A number of nifty companies will present their quarterly numbers today including tata motors, cipla, dr reddy’s labs, etc.
Expectations are high that finance minister nirmala sitharaman will unveil a budget focused on growth. The catalyst that could propel india’s gdp into double digits and on which nirmala sitharaman could rely may be infrastructure. “we do believe that the government will go for a growth theme in the budget, to bring the economy back to normalcy and it would primarily focus on the push towards the infrastructure sector. There are high expectations that the government would increase allocation towards infrastructure schemes which will boost the order book of capital goods companies as well as drive volumes of cement companies.  Companies such as l&t, siemens india, abb india, ultratech, ambuja and acc would benefit. Similarly, visha wagh of bonanza portfolio is focusing on l&t ltd, pnc infratech ltd, ultra tech cement ltd, and ambuja cement. In this budget, the focus is expected to be more on roads, city infra and water transmission. We would recommend taking positions in l&t, knr constructions and pnc infratech in the road infrastructure space, and ratnamani metals & tubes in the water transmission segment. Further expects the union budget to carry announcements related to affordable housing, it deductions on home loan interest, special deductions for rent on salaried class. Indiabulls housing, capacite infraprojects and phoenix mills are his picks in the real estate space.



Wednesday, January 27, 2021

NIFTY BELOW 13980


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Today Sensex opened lower after three consecutive days of fall, and dropped over 1000 points in intraday trade & Nifty fell below 13950 indicating that investors are taking money off the table ahead of mega-policy event Union Budget 2021.At the domestic front investors kept their moves low ahead of the Union Budget which is expected to focus on growth.The market valuations have become stretched and most of the positives are factored in the price. The upcoming Budget will be a tight rope walk for the government and negative surprises of higher taxation. In Axis Securities pre-Budget highlighted that despite limited fiscal space, policy reforms are likely to continue. History suggests that past Budgets have disappointed the equity markets more often, but this time the finance minister has promised a landmark Budget. Axis Securities' positive Budget bets include Hero motocorp, Escorts, Maruti Suzuki, Dabur India, Asian Paints, SBI, Star Cement, PI Industries, Dhanuka, Amber Enterprises and Dixon Technologies.
TOP GAINERS-TECHM,SBILIFE,WIPRO,ITC,HCLTECH
TOP LOSERS-TATAMOTORS,TATASTEEL,TITAN,HINDALCO