CAN THE BULLS EXPECT A GOOD FINANCIAL YEAR??

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In this week stock market had a short roller-coaster week, with the year ending and March series F&O contracts expiring on the same day. On the whole, the micro triggers in the form of earnings are showing signs of improvement. However, the macros pose a huge challenge in terms of rising yields, a jump in crude oil prices and increased barriers to international trade, which have created headwinds for our indices.But the offshoots of recovery were visible in some of the sectors this week. The market principally reacted to global cues, but the same is likely to change from April when the first set of earnings numbers will be released.

All the pessimism has already been captured by the market; LTCG on equity has got priced in and F&O expiry should create a launch pad for good recovery at least in April while elections in Karnataka could again create jitters for the market in May.The market is expected to gain momentum slowly in April and bounce back from the lows on expectations of good earnings numbers. Pharmaceuticals can surprise as the base of last year was low and any incremental growth in profit will have a high-beta impact on stock prices. There is still uncertainty regarding how the US markets will unfold and the impact of trade wars if it heightens. But the same has been more or less factored in and, therefore, the market should perform better than what the majority is expecting on the Street. One should be patient and look out for sectors such as pharma, IT, NBFCs and good quality private sector banks. Investors should deploy a part of their capital in good quality stocks at current levels.

NIFTY LEVEL PREDICTION FOR MONDAY 28 MARCH 2022

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Today markets continue to be in a grind, influenced by and reacting to increasing news flow on the global front, particularly related to the geopolitical situation and Fed rhetoric. The two main challenges and monitors for markets in the near term are persistent inflationary pressures and rising bond yields. While inflationary pressures have been building in recent months, the geopolitical situation has worsened the situation as Ukraine and Russia are big players in energy and several commodities, and the prices of some of these commodities have risen sharply since the beginning of the crisis. An ongoing geopolitical situation and elevated prices will gradually weigh on demand and profitability and may result in growth and earnings estimates being trimmed. The recent rise in bond yields may also have an impact on capital flows and stock valuations. As markets have pulled back sharply over the last few weeks one can try to get some liquidity as the uncertainty and volatility is likely to continue for some time with too many moving parts creating intermittent opportunities.
After the recent 10% rally, the market has moved sideways with a negative bias due to the rise in commodity prices, monetary tightening and inflationary pressures. The domestic market is showing strong resilience, but to maintain the trend, much will depend on the outcome of the war and commodity prices. Easing of COVID restrictions in India is a boost for sectors like Hospitality, Multiplex, Transport etc. resulting in outperformance
SUPPORT : 17109,17003,16803
RESISTANCE : 17309,17403,17603

10500/- PROFIT BOOKED IN CASH CALLS

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HINDALCO CASH CALL 1ST TARGET ACHIEVED @ 628 BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 621 BOOKED PROFIT OF  3500

TORRENTPOWER CASH CALL 1ST TARGET ACHIEVED @ 500 BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 494 BOOKED PROFIT OF 3000

JSW STEEL CASH 1ST TARGET @ 726.50 BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 718.50 BOOKED PROFIT OF 4000

STOCK CASH CALLS FOR 25 MARCH 2022

BUY HINDALCO ABOVE 621 TG 628/635 SL 613

BUY JSW STEEL ABOVE 718.50 TG 726.50/734 SL 709.50

BUY TORRENTPOWER ABOVE 494 TG 500/506 SL 487

STOCK MARKET PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 25 MAR 2022

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Today nifty started the day on a negative note on weak global cues and remained in negative territory for most of the session before closing with marginal losses. The Nifty witnessed swinging action on March 24 and ultimately posted a negative daily close. For the last few sessions, it is stuck in between the hourly Bollinger Bands, which are in contraction mode. Metal sector still has legs to move on because in the last 3-6 months the kind of cash flows these companies have generated, that is going to dramatically change the balance sheet. So from here on even if the earnings remains flat, just by the interest cost savings and better working capital management, these companies can still report positive earnings growth. So there is still steam left in these names to be invested.
Zee on Thursday said that it welcomes the decision by Invesco Developing Markets Fund and OFI Global China Fund LLC for its belief in the potential of the proposed merger with Sony Pictures.It remains focused on the completion of the proposed merger with Sony Pictures, which is in the best interest of all the stakeholders.

60300/- PROFIT BOOKED IN FUTURE CALLS

                    VOLTAS FUTURE ACHIEVED BOTH TARGET 1326/1336

                                 BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 1316

                                        BOOKED PROFIT OF 15000

HAVELLS  FUTURE ACHIEVED BOTH TARGET 1154/1164
BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 1144
BOOKED PROFIT OF 15000

 TATA STEEL FUTURE ACHIEVED BOTH TARGET 1324/1336
BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 1312
BOOKED PROFIT OF 15300

 TATA CHEM FUT ACHIEVED BOTH TARGET 962/967
BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 957
BOOKED PROFIT OF 15000

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STOCK FUTURE CALLS FOR TODAY 23-03-22

 BUY VOLTAS 2 LOTS ABOVE 1316 TG 1326/1336 SL 1304

BUY HAVELLS 2 LOTS ABOVE 1144 TG 1154/1164 SL 1132

BUY TATA STEEL 2 LOTS 1312 TG 1324/1336 SL 1299

BUY TATA CHEM 2 LOTS ABOVE 957 TG 962/967 SL 951

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HERE ARE 3 FACTORS AFFECTING SENTIMENT THIS WEEK

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Today the market was down about 1%, broadly along expected lines after last week's 4% rally. At the close, the Sensex was down 57,292, down 571 points, while the Nifty was down 169 points at 17118.

 1 Russia-Ukraine War

Russian forces continue to advance on Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, aggressively shelling cities amid heavy resistance from Ukrainians and their forces, suggesting the war is unlikely to end soon. Peace talks between the two sides have made little progress.

2 Global cues

Asian markets traded mixed as participants closely watched the war between Ukraine and Russia. Hong Kong's Hang Seng and South Korea's Kospi fell 0.89% and 0.77% respectively, while Japan's Nikkei gained 0.65%.

3 Oil prices

Crude oil prices regained strength on tight supply fears after talks between Ukraine and Russia officials stalled. Hopes that the Covid situation in China is less scary than expected also supported prices. International benchmark Brent crude futures have remained volatile since, after suffering a correction of about 20 percent from March highs. Brent traded at $112.3 a barrel, up 4 percent from the close on March 19. Volatility in prices and oil above $100 is a risk for importers including India.
consolidation can be seen in the near term, given the sharp rally in previous sessions but as long as the index holds the crucial 17,000-mark, traders should not get worried about the current fall.On the flipside, 17,500 could act as a near-term resistance followed by 17,800

10000/- PROFIT BOOKED IN BANKNIFTY FUTURE CALL

  BANK NIFTY FUTURE 1ST TARGET ACHIEVED @ 36345
BUYING CALL GIVEN FROM 36145
BOOKED PROFIT OF  10000

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NIFTY FUTURE CALLS FOR TODAY 21 MARCH 2022

 BUY NIFTY 2 LOTS ABOVE 17305 TG 17380/17450 SL 17220

BUY BANK NIFTY 2 LOTS ABOVE 36145 TG 36345/36540 SL 35925

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