MONDAY MARKET PREDICTION FOR 18 APR 2022

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The market started Wednesday's session with nominal gains even as retail inflation jumped from 6.07 %in February to a 17-month high of 6.95 %in March. After trading in the green for a period, the indices erased morning gains and traded mostly flat.

Infosys' share price rose 1 %in early trade on Wednesday (April 13) ahead of the company's fourth-quarter results to be announced later. The IT major is expected to report a 15-20 %increase in consolidated after-tax profit and 24 %growth in consolidated revenue for the quarter through March. Experts say margins should increase thanks to higher off shoring and favorable currency mixes. In addition, ramping up new stores, adding employees and visibility will remain key drivers going forward. The stock was last trading at Rs 1,748, up 0.35 %on the NSE. The stock is currently trading 10.32 % below its 52-week high of Rs 1,953.70 hit on Jan.

STOCK TO WATCH FOR TODAY 13 APR 2022

Tata Steel: The Company has completed the acquisition of a 50% stake in S&T Mining from the Steel Authority of India. It also completes the acquisition of a 90% stake in Rohit Ferro Tech.
TVS Motor: The company is acquiring Swiss e-mobility company Passion Vlo for Rs 22.83 crore. Passion Vlo is mainly engaged in the sale of electric bicycles and e-bike accessories.
Maruti Suzuki: The company said its Rohtak R&D facility, which was affected by a fire incident, is covered by an insurance policy. She appraises the damage to claim back the sum insured.
Godrej Properties: Received NCLT approval for the merger of Ceear Lifespace, a project-based special purpose vehicle that is a wholly owned subsidiary, with the Company.
ICICI Bank: Consideration of the issuance of debentures on April 23.|
UPL: UPL Pollution Control Dam in a South African chemical depot..
Wipro: Says acquisition of Convergence Acceleration is complete.
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INFOSYS RESULTS AHEAD: WHAT TO DO BUY OR SELL ?

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On Tuesday, shares of Infosys fell in line with the competition ahead of the tech majors' quarterly earnings for the January-March quarter, due Wednesday. With the exception of TCS & HCL Tech, all tech stocks in the Nifty package traded in negative territory. Infosys shares are down more than 2 % on the day, trading at Rs.1,739.45 on the NSE at the time of writing, down 1.5 % from the previous close for the quarter ended tomorrow, March 31. March 2022, and a CNBC-TV18 survey of market analysts indicated a marginal increase in the company's revenue and earnings on a sequential basis. We follow the IT sector and expect Infosys revenue to increase by 3.1% to Rs.32,867 crore versus Rs.31,867 crore in the previous quarter. Corporate profit after tax is expected to rise 2.94 % to Rs.5980 crore from Rs.5809 crore in the December quarter.
The Street expects earnings before interest and tax to come in at Rs.7,653 crore versus Rs.7,484 crore in the last quarter. According to the survey, the EBIT %age is likely to be 23.3 %, compared to 23.5 % previously. In dollar terms, we expect Infosys revenue to increase 2.7 % to $4,365 million from $4,250 million in the October-December quarter. While Infosys shares have been one of investor favorites, the stock posted earnings posting ahead of the gains. Technology company stocks have wiped out 6 % of investor wealth in the past five days and 8 % in a month. However, over the one-year period, the stock has returned more than 21 %, compared to the benchmark Nifty, which is up 22%.

We believe there will be an upside surprise from some IT companies in the coming quarters. The likelihood of this is relatively higher in the mid-range, but we are relatively more bullish on Infosys within Tier-I and within mid-tier Mphasis and Persistent Systems. Speaking of Infosys, a growth premium is visible for it and he would also pay attention to margin guidance. You have to see the growth premium; the growth premium of 100-200 basis points per second of Tier II or Mid-Tier IT over Tier I has increased to almost 10%. I think on a more sustainable basis 500-600 bps is something they can deliver. We expect Infosys to report 12-14% revenue growth guidance for FY23, similar to FY22. While Kotak and CLSA expect revenue guidance of 11-13%, consensus estimates actual revenue growth is 15-16%.

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INTRADAY TRADING TIPS FOR 12 APR 2022

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BUY VOLTAS 2 LOTS ABOVE 1280 TG 1290/1300 SL 1268

TRADING IDEA FOR TOMORROW 12 APR 2022

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Monday neatly ended the day down, mainly dragged down by it stocks ahead of tcs' fourth-quarter results. Stocks also fell amid negative signals from global equities. Technology stocks weighed the most on the bar, while banks outperformed on rising bond yields. At home, the sensex fell 482.61 points to end the day at 58,964, while the nifty fell 109 points to close at 17675. About 2072 shares rose, 1,393 fell, and 121 remained flat. Hcl technologies, infosys, l&t, wipro and sbi life insurance were the hardest hit stocks at nifty, while grasim industries, adani ports, jsw steel, upl and cipla rose. The nifty it index fell over 1% while mid-cap and small-cap indices ended the day slightly higher. Tcs will open earnings season for nifty companies.

We expect q4fy22 to be another strong quarter for indian it players in terms of growth despite high base as tier ii companies are likely to outperform tier i companies again. Margin headwinds are expected to increase as supply side pressures are further accentuated by high inflation in the us. The second largest indian company by market capitalization, growth is expected to be broad-based across all sectors. The company continues to see strong demand across technology segments, supported by strong customer demands related to cloud and digital transformation, data analytics, artificial intelligence, 5g rollouts for the internet of things and cyber security. Consolidated after-tax profit for tcs could rise 8% to rs.10,000 crore.

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TRADING TIPS FOR TODAY 11-04-22

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BUY JSW STEEL ABOVE 762 TG 770/777 SL 753

BUY SUNTECK ABOVE 488.50 TG 494.50/500 SL 481.50

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