Saturday, June 26, 2021

BENEFITS OF TRADING IN STOCK FUTURES

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A futures contract is a contract or agreement between two parties to conduct a transaction at a predetermined locked down price at some point in the future. It is essentially a bet on the prospects of a stock, one of the multiple financial trades you can perform. Two parties take opposing stances, with one agreeing to buy shares and the other agreeing to sell them at a certain price sometime later, irrespective of the prevailing market price then.To illustrate, consider two trading entities A and B. A holds the view that the value of a stock would rise from its present value in the future while B believes the opposite. A and B enter into a contract with A agreeing to buy shares of the stock from B at the present price sometime in the future. If A’s bet comes true, that is, if stock value rises, A can get shares of the stock at a discounted price from B. Conversely, if the share value drops, B can sell shares to A at a premium, that is, at a value greater than the market price.

There are 2 primary benefits to future trading - the leverage you receive, and the risk mitigation it offers.

Margins and leverage

Unlike buying equity, one needn't pay in full to buy futures. One need to only pay a percentage of the total contract value to buy or sell in futures. This percentage is called margin and varies between different stock futures. Thus you could buy/sell a lot more shares of futures than equity with a certain amount of money. For example, if the margin is fixed at 20% for futures in a stock, one could buy/sell 5x times more shares in futures than in equity. This ratio is called leverage. Thus, with 20% margin, the leverage is 5. Leverage is a double-edged sword. It multiplies profits manifold but also multiplies losses.
If futures in a stock has a leverage of 5, it means that profits would be five times than that of equity profits. If the equity returns a profit of 20%, the futures offer a return of 100% (Futures profit percentage = Equity profit percentage*Leverage). This is possible because only a fraction of the price is paid to buy futures . But losses would be equally magnified too. A 20% loss in equity would cause 100% loss in futures having a leverage of five.

Hedging against risks

Futures can be used to mitigate or hedge against systemic risks to investment in a single stock or a portfolio of stocks. For single stocks, hedging can be done easily by selling futures at a higher price than the price at which equity was bought. The number of futures sold must be equal to the number of equity shares held by one. Thus, if prices fall, the profit from the selling order in stock futures would offset fall in equity value and vice versa. A fixed return is guaranteed and market fluctuations don't affect the returns. Futures can also be used to hedge against risks to investment in a portfolio of stocks.

POINTS TO REMEMBER

·      With Futures, you do not have to worry about closing your position at the end of the day, while with Cash Trading you need to be mindful of closing intraday positions if you are taking margin.

·         Nifty and certain Equity Futures are usually very liquid; therefore, through liquidity there is a a good chance that the trader will capture the price he seeks.

·         Futures is 0.01%, while intraday Cash Trading charges 0.025% on sell side trading and 0.1% on both buy and sell side trading for delivery transactions.

Friday, June 25, 2021

IS F&O TRADING GOOD ????

FUTURES & OPTIONS are wonderful derivatives that provide enough leverage for trading. Investors can gain larger profits with smaller risk. You just need to adopt some basic option trading strategies for beginners while trading.An option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.Like stocks, options also involve risks & are not suitable for every trader. Option trading is found to be highly speculative in nature. It carries the risk of losing partial or even entire premium paid by you. You should invest only the partial amount of your total investments in options. However, one of the biggest advantages of option trading is that you can easily hedge your portfolio with them.Hedging with options can limit your potential downside risk. 
In contrast, trading options can be better than trading stocks when appropriately used. However, if the ability to generate relatively reliable analyses and outlook of their underlying assets is not right, both options trading and futures trading may be equally risky.Future trading is capable of producing return on investment and leverage far higher than it can be achieved in trading options.Whether buying call options or put options, the actual risk is limited according to how much money you used to purchase those options. The worst thing that can happen is that the forecast is entirely incorrect, and the choices all go useless.

but our views differ according to the risk profile of the investor. Considering we are talking about trading and not investment,so we suggest -

  • Stock trading only permits day trades. If you want to stay for a longer period, you    need to consider delivery trading.
  • If you hold negative reviews about stocks, consider shorting. Remember, trading       in shares reduces profit-making potential on a good trade.
  •  The losses are minimal as the position size is limited, which is not possible                 under F&O.
  •  But the returns are better with F&O because it offers better opportunities           with  limited   restrictions. The primary constraint is the position size, and traders fear of losing the same.
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Saturday, June 19, 2021

STAY BULLISH IN SBI CARD

BUY SBI CARDS 500 SHARE ABOVE  1000  TARGET 1020/1050 SL 965
SELL SBI CARDS  500 SHARE BELOW 998 TARGET 978/948 SL 1028

SBI Cards & Payment Services shares plunged over 6 % yesterday  as Carlyle Group was looking to sell its stake worth Rs 5000 crore in the credit card company. About 1.9 crore shares had changed hands by noon against the daily average of 0.8 lakh.Over 5 crore shares of the company were traded. Bulk deal data will be released post-market hours. Total turnover stood at Rs 1907 crore at noon. On NSE, shares worth Rs 5013 crore were traded.The per share price band decided by the seller is Rs 1,002-1,041.30, which is at a 4.7% discount to Thursday’s closing price of Rs 1,051. The SBI Card stock has gained over 70% in the last one year. It has risen 18 % so far in 2021.The company's shares were listed at a steep discount over the issue price as the Covid-19 pandemic spooked the markets in March 2020. In March last year, SBI Cards, India’s second-largest credit card firm after HDFC, had launched its maiden initial public offer  in which Carlyle sold a 10% stake for Rs 7000 crore, making a gain of 8.5 times in three years.CA Rover Holdings is planning to offload 5 % stake in SBICARD.
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Tuesday, June 8, 2021

POSITIONAL EQUITY CASH CALL

" BUY HDFCLIFE 300 SHARE CASH ABOVE 690 TARGET 700/719 STOPLOSS 678"

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Saturday, May 29, 2021

NO MORE METAL!!!! ITS TIME TO START INVEST IN AUTO STOCKS

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"BUY TATAMOTORS  FUT 2 LOTS ABOVE 325 TARGET 329/340 SL 316"

We have now cut down our exposure to metals. We were bullish for the past 4-6 months but now we think that the rally has peaked. Aluminium or copper might do better than iron ore and steel and so we have cut down our exposure to steel and moved to autos. Now it could be a contra call, now we have been recommending to buy autos. We think that the valuations for autos are now at a reasonable level. We have seen that the commodity price pressure has impacted their gross margins and is now going to ease as they have started taking price hikes. So I feel the margin pressure for auto companies will come down over the next couple of quarters. If the monsoon is good, then the rural demand might also be strong. Land prices have moved up, which also will have some rub-off impact on wealth perception in rural areas. So all these factors are nicely aligned for auto sector to do well over the next 6-9 months. We are neutral on IT. Chemicals and agrochemicals, which are exporting to US, will see good demand rebound. US may grow in the range of 6-6.5% but we may be in for some surprise. If that happens, Indian exporters will be in focus.UPCOMING RESULTS-ITC & PVR

Thursday, May 27, 2021

44000 PROFIT BOOKED IN INTRADAY FUTURE CALLS

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MINDTREE  FUT ACHIEVED BOTH TARGET 2314/2344 BUYING GIVEN FROM 2289 BOOKED PROFIT OF 32000
ADANIENT FUT ACHIEVED TARGET 1340 BUYING GIVEN FROM 1328 BOOKED PROFIT OF 12000 (ON 1 LOT)
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Saturday, May 22, 2021

IS NEW HIGH ON NIFTY ON CARDS??

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In this week market witnessed a volatile , especially after the WPI inflation numbers hit their 11-year high at 10.49% for April. While higher inflation raised some concerns, its near-term impact was effectively neutralized by a drop in the number of Covid-19 cases in India. Nifty closed the week on a positive note and crossed the previous short term resistance of 15,050. Nifty needs to close decisively above 15,200 level to start a fresh bullish move within the channel. As long as it does not take a decisive direction, we maintain a sideways to mild bullish outlook.

A jump in bank and IT stocks, optimism over recent fall in Covid cases, easing of lockdown restrictions in some states and strong quarterly numbers from blue-chip companies pushed domestic stocks higher in this week. Positive global cues added to the sentiment, as the BSE Sensex rallied 976 points to end above 50,500 level. Nifty surged 1.8% & closed above its psychological mark of 15,550-mark. Nifty constituent SBI jumped 5 % after reporting an 80% surge in Q4 profit. Peers HDFC Bank, IndusInd Bank and ICICI Bank climbed 4 % each, helping the index post solid gains for the day. JSW Steel and Hindalco also gained after reporting multifold jumps in their Q4 bottom lines. Stocks such as Bharti Airtel, M&M, UPL and Tata Motors added 2%. But sugar stocks such as Bajaj Hindustan, Sakthi Sugars, Simbhaoli Sugars and Dharani Sugars fell 5 % each after the government decided to cut sugar export subsidies for the current season. In the broader market, every two of three stocks settled lower. A total of 327 stocks hit fresh 52-week highs, while 440 stocks hit their respective upper circuit limits. Fear gauge India  eased 3 %t to 19 level, comforting the bulls.

Friday, May 14, 2021

TATAMOTORS STOCK NEXT WEEK PREDICTION 17 MAY 2021

BUY TATAMOTORS FUT 2 LOTS ABOVE 314 TARGET 320/335 SL 305
SELL TATAMOTORS FUT 2 LOTS BELOW 310 TARGET 302/289 SL 318
Today Tata motors -4.22 %  its board will meet next week to consider a proposal to raise funds through various means. The board meeting is scheduled to be held on tuesday, may 18, 2021 to consider and approve the audited financial results for the quarter and financial year ended march 31, 2021. Tata motors did not give an indication on the quantum of the amount that the company intends to raise.

On this weekend nifty closed  at 14678 with the loss of nearly1% & formed a dark cloud cover sort of candle pattern on weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal candle by nature. Among stocks, asian paints, upl, itc, nestle india, berger paints, colgate palmolive, l&t, icici prudential, marico, power grid and mcdowell holdings witnessed bullish setup, while weakness was seen in jindal steel & power, dlf, gail, container corporation, nalco, piramal enterprises,indusind bank, exide industries, l&t finance holdings, m&m, havells and mrf. Except capital goods and fmcg, all other sectoral indices ended in the red, with metal, oil & gas, healthcare, auto and realty indices falling 2%.among individual stocks, a volume spike of more than 100% was seen in nalco, pi industries and pidilite industries.
Accourding us friday's low is expected to act as a key level in the coming sessions, and if it holds the same, then there could rally towards recent highs.
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