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It is very difficult to predict when the market will
experience a trend reversal. The reality is that even historically we have to
wait for the market to digest that the rate hike cycle is over. When the market
comes to this realization, things will change.Even on Tuesday, the Fed
chair was at a WSJ seminar and generally spoke in a very aggressive tone. He
mentioned that inflation is his primary goal. He doesn't have to worry about
other things now. This sends a
very clear signal that they will do everything they can to contain inflation.
However, I have to say that and I have to say here that these things are
sending a very strong signal to the market and there will likely be more and
more interest there. It is very difficult to predict these geopolitical
developments and if there is a truce, we may be surprised to find that things
have suddenly turned around and buoyancy has returned to the market. Risk
appetite will return to markets and central banks around the world will not be
under the intense pressure they are facing today to contain inflation as
inflation slowly moderates as commodity prices fall.
Wednesday, May 25, 2022
HOW LONG DO YOU EXPECT THE MARKETS TO BE LEAN? IS THERE NO CLARITY YET?
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