Bulls rampaged on D-Street as indexes shifted gears to post a rebound on
Oct. 4, buoyed by upbeat quarterly updates from India Inc and strong buying in
the US and Asian markets. Falling dollar and US bond yields also lifted
sentiment. Sensex rallied above 1,100 points and Nifty was placed above the
17,100 mark. The market has been fairly volatile over the last week on
global signals, but now that corporate earnings season is underway, analysts
are expecting sentiment to improve. Since 2011, Sensex has posted negative
returns only twice in the festive month of October, which also marks the start
of the third quarter and second half of the fiscal year.
We expect the Nifty50 index to remain
above the psychological 17,000 mark.Market
breadth preferred winners. In the Nifty 50, 48 stocks gained, led by indusind Bank,
Bajaj Finance, Hindalco Industries and TCS. The only two losers were powergrid and
Dr. Reddy's Labs. “In
the short term, market sentiment has turned positive with a bearish trend in
dollar and US bond yields, he said. If this trend continues, foreign
institutional investors (fiis) will again become big buyers in India and they
will not get stocks cheaply. Financials and autos will once again lead the
uptrend as their fundamentals and prospects are strong. Capital goods are
likely to join the rally and telecoms are on a strong wicket.
September Quarter Earnings Encouraging
earnings reports from companies lifted sentiment ahead of the reporting season
for the September quarter. Companies from different sectors reported stable
growth, which led to market-wide buying. IndusInd Bank shares rose 5.75% after
net advances rose 18% year-on-year in the second quarter. Mahindra and Mahindra
Financial Services shares rose 10 percent after the company reported strong
September payouts and improved collections efficiency.
Global Cues The Dow
Jones closed Monday up 2.66%, its biggest one-day gain in over 3 months, as
investors weighed the possibility that the Federal Reserve may be forced to
back off from aggressively tightening monetary policy. Other Asian markets were
also in a celebratory mood as Japan's Nikkei jumped to its highest level in
nearly two weeks on Tuesday. Mainland China and Hong Kong markets are closed
for a public holiday.
FII Buying After
being net sellers of over Rs 7,000 crore in September, foreign institutional
investors or FIIs bought Indian shares worth Rs 590 crore on the first trading
day of the third quarter, yesterday. If this trend continues, FIIs will
again become big buyers in India and they will not get shares cheaply.
Financials and autos will once again lead the uptrend as their fundamentals and
prospects are strong. Capital goods are likely to join the rally and telecoms
are on a strong wicket.
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Tuesday, October 4, 2022
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