Wednesday, May 25, 2022

HOW LONG DO YOU EXPECT THE MARKETS TO BE LEAN? IS THERE NO CLARITY YET?

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It is very difficult to predict when the market will experience a trend reversal. The reality is that even historically we have to wait for the market to digest that the rate hike cycle is over. When the market comes to this realization, things will change.Even on Tuesday, the Fed chair was at a WSJ seminar and generally spoke in a very aggressive tone. He mentioned that inflation is his primary goal. He doesn't have to worry about other things now. This sends a very clear signal that they will do everything they can to contain inflation. However, I have to say that and I have to say here that these things are sending a very strong signal to the market and there will likely be more and more interest there. It is very difficult to predict these geopolitical developments and if there is a truce, we may be surprised to find that things have suddenly turned around and buoyancy has returned to the market. Risk appetite will return to markets and central banks around the world will not be under the intense pressure they are facing today to contain inflation as inflation slowly moderates as commodity prices fall.

I definitely think diagnostic spacea good area to be in for the long term, but I'm pretty sure this isn't the time to nibble. Check out what's going on with Dr. Lal Path Labs happened, margins are definitely under pressure. They could pick up somewhere in the next quarter or so, but that won't change the reality.Tata 1mg speaks of introductory prices that are well below those of the established players. They could pick up somewhere in the next quarter or so, but that won't change the reality. Another factor that we need to keep in mind, and this is the long-term trend, is that it used to be a very fragmented, unorganized sector, or rather unorganized, and small diagnostic centers seemed to do most of the work. Now it's shifting to the organized sector, the big chains, and those chains will eventually take advantage of economies of scale.. Dr. Lal Path Labs used to have a lab for about nine collection centers. Now it has moved to a laboratory for 20 collection centers. In the future, it's likely to go even significantly higher from current levels, and that creates a lot of economies of scale, leading to cost savings and margin improvements. But while margin is improving there are structural market forces that are significantly lowering margin due to pricing pressures and we need to keep that in mind and monitor this space carefully over the long term, but this is not the right time to go into it.

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BUY VOLTAS 2 LOTS ABOVE 996 TG 1006/1016 SL 984

BUY TATA CHEM 2 LOTS ABOVE 958 TG 963/968 SL 952

BUY UPL 2 LOTS ABOVE 782 TG 786/790 SL 777

Tuesday, May 24, 2022

STOCK MARKET TRADING PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 25 MAY 2022

Today’s stock market ended lower in choppy trade. Equities have been volatile globally as investors assess the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and the impact of China’s strict covid policies. Most Asian shares declined on Tuesday, as a drop in U.S. stock futures stoked fears about a global economic slowdown.

Nifty ended lower for the second day in a row in volatile trade. Sensex ended at 54052, down 236 points, after dropping to as low as 53886 points in the day. Nifty ended 89 points or 0.55% lower at 16125. Markets are volatile globally as investors assess the outlook for monetary policy, inflation and the impact of China’s strict covid policies. Most Asian shares also declined on Tuesday.Broad market indices were weak with BSE SmallCap and MidCap ending nearly 1% lower each. Fear gauge, Volatility index, jumped nearly 10% today. Among sectors, IT, metals, pharma, FMCG and realty ended in the red, while banks and financials just managed to stay afloat.Today Dr Reddy's, HDFC and Power Grid were the best gainers among the 10 stocks that ended in the green, while HCL Tech, HUL and Tech Mahindra were the biggest laggards.
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CANFINHOME 450 SHARES SL TRIGGERED  @ 467 

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 BUY CANFINHOME 450 SHARES ABOVE 474 TG 480/486 SL 467

BUY RAYMOND 250 SHARES ABOVE 907 TG 916/924 SL 897

 BUY BRIGADE 450 SHARES ABOVE 449.50 TG 455.50/461.50 SL 442.50

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Monday, May 23, 2022

STOCK MARKET PREDICTION FOR TOMORROW 24 MAY 2022

Today market spent most of the session in the green but ended with minor losses on sell off. Sensex gave up all intraday gains to close 37 points or 0.07% lower at 54,288 while nifty fell 51 points or 0.32% to settle at 16,214 & banknifty closed 0.08% down. Maruti Suzuki India was the top performer in Sensex, up 4%, followed by M&M, HUL and Larsen & Toubro. Tata Steel slipped 12.24% on Monday, while Ultratech Cement slipped 3% and ITC slipped 2.2%.

Global markets were and are volatile in the month of May 22. The Indian markets are also on a similar path, however, the drawdown percentage in the Indian markets is not as high as in the global counterparts. Nifty has corrected -6.3% year-to-date with continued volatility in the month of May. Some of the main reasons for this continued volatility are concerns over the Russia-Ukraine conflict, decades of high inflation, supply chain issues, rising input costs leading to a squeeze on margins, and demand compression. We expect India's medium-term inflation to range between 4.5% and 5.5%. Historically, the Reserve Bank of India has aimed to keep the real repo rate at 100-150 basis points. Given this, we expect the cycle repo rate to peak around 6-6.5%, accordingly we expect the RBI to hike the repo rate another 200 basis points over the next 24 months. The interest rate hike also increases the risk-free interest rate and thus the discount rate for future earnings. These in turn reduce the valuation of companies. Taken together, the short-term effects of a rate hike can hurt corporate earnings and the stock market. Interest rate changes should not affect the long-term prospects of an investor with a long time horizon and an appropriate mix of equity and debt. Being consistent in your asset allocation strategy and diversification can help protect your entire investment portfolio against the effects of interest rate changes over the long term.

 

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STOCK OPTION CALLS FOR 23 MAY 2022

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